http://www.calgaryherald.com/Canadian+housing+market+withstands+recession/1796829/story.html

brought by Moishe ALexander, CFC canadian funding corp CEO

Canada has of course also been going through a real estate crisis, just as the United States has. However, it’s perhaps worth noting that the Edmonton banks are once again beginning to offer mortgages. Of course, it is only to be expected that they are now a little more cautious than before with regards to the way they view a property as well as the borrower. Nonetheless, this is an ideal time to apply for a mortgage given that the interest rates are incredibly low. Furthermore, it is said that the housing market has by all accounts bottomed out, so if this is the first time you’re contemplating purchasing a property, you’ve come along at just the right time in order to get the lowest possible price, together with the lowest interest rates.

Surprisingly enough, even though the government phased out 100% loans, providing you have a good credit history, you can still obtain 95% financing. What this means is; apart from attorney fees, you will only be required to make a down payment of 5%.

Government guaranteed mortgages are still out there too for Edmonton mortgages. A few of the rules have changed, but they are not deal breakers by any means. For instance, the maximum amortization period has changed slightly moving down from 40 years to 35 years. Government backed mortgages will now require that a 5% down payment needs to be paid now, and there is a minimum credit score requirement now.

These steps have essentially been taken in order to safeguard Canadian citizens from witnessing the same mess as is being seen by U.S. citizens. Unlike the current feeling in the United States, the housing bubble in Canada has not yet burst so to speak, particularly in Edmonton because of conservative mortgage lending in the past.

The Canada Mortgage Housing Corporation (CMHC) mortgages offer many flexible financing tools and options, such as extended amortization periods, and the single advance plan as well as progress advances are available. Also do not ever forget that those mortgages offer portability for your next home should you have to move! Also, remember that you will be given a break for purchasing an energy efficient home in Edmonton.

Other good news circulating in the mortgage market is that as from June, 2009 residential starts actually saw an increase for the second consecutive month, whereas in the United States, residential housing starts are all but non-existent.

The Canada Mortgage Housing Corporation recently reported that the overall vacancy rate regarding senior housing in standard units has remained steady at 5.9% since the beginning of the year. Additionally, the average rent for a standard retirement home unit has remained at approximately $2,334 per month in Alberta.

We do however have one thing in common with our southern neighbors in that we also have access to hard money lenders in Edmonton. In fact, it is common knowledge that these lenders have been freeing up a considerable amount of cash in recent times and as a result, mortgages are now available but they come with a loan to value ratio of approximately 70/30 which of course is quite expensive, both in terms of interest and points. For this reason, unless you have been refused a mortgage by the banks, you would be well advised to avoid such private lenders altogether.

http://firstforextrading.com/mortgages-in-edmonton-3643

brought by Moishe Alexander, CFC canadian funding corp CEO

More balanced market conditions have emerged, effectively ending the stronghold that buyers had on the market over the past six to eight months.  Canada’s largest markets, Toronto and Vancouver, led the charge—with June sales among the highest in history for both local real estate boards.  Close to 11,000 properties changed hands in Toronto, up 27 per cent over one year ago, setting a new record for sales in the month of June.  The figure was just slightly off the all-time peak of 11,146 units.   Residential sales in Greater Vancouver increased 75.6 per cent over one year ago, to 4,259 units, just short of the record breaking 4,333 sales, which occurred in June 2005.  Overall, major markets began to recover in March, posting escalating sales in April, May and June.  The impetus is expected to continue throughout the remainder of 2009, with most centres now forecasting year-end sales on par or ahead of 2008 levels.

“While sales are the leading indicator, there are other clear signals that recovery is indeed underway,” says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada.  “Renewed consumer confidence, albeit cautious, has been key, supported by improved economic news.  In addition, we’ve seen sale price-to-list price ratios climb across the country, rising as high as 105 per cent in some communities.  Vendor incentives have also come off the table, both for resale and new housing stock.”

The recent surge in resale activity can be attributed to three key factors—pent-up demand, low interest rates, and greater affordability.  The combination—in conjunction with declining inventory levels—has created heated market conditions in hot pocket neighbourhoods, prompting a resurgence in multiple offers in June.  Average prices are holding steady or climbing, days on market are down, and inventory levels continue to tighten, especially at entry-level price points.

“The strength of the market, amid the most significant global recession in recent history once again underscores its relevance to the nation’s economic engine,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada.  “Canadians believe in homeownership –a fact best illustrated by the purchasers who ventured forward in recent months and snapped up some of the best real estate deals this market has seen in years.  Those who chose to sit it out on the sidelines are now facing a market in transition, characterized by the threat of rising interest rates, low inventory levels, and upward pressure on housing values.”

Although the current pace may be unsustainable, all markers point to greater stability in the market, leading to healthier activity in the long run, with inventory levels a key variable influencing pent-up demand.

http://www.calgaryrealestate-goodrealtor.com/calgary/recovery-underway-in-key-canadian-markets-ends

reviewed by Moishe Alexander,   CFC  canadian funding corp CEO

A cod fish in the face might be more subtle!

For Ever and Ever

Robert Hogue of the Royal Bank of Canada in his latest report “Housing Trends and Affodability”, should be a heads up to those house buyers who think Vancouver real estate market in its present form, will go on forever.

Between the Scales

While telling us that which we already know, that “housing affordabiltiy greatly improved in the Q1-09 the teeth of his report lie buried between the scales.

Good News Old News

Sure we have experienced a windfall in affordability, in fact according to Hogue “in most areas of the country we have returned to or are near to long term averages” that he claims are “consistent with solid market fundamentals.”

Fish Story

This is all good news except that – though “the market ‘appears’ to be generally on the mend in Canada, the road to full recovery still has obstacles”. Locally, we’re all happy about the Vancouver real estate market being abuzz. However, it’s those silly little global crisis reminders that haunt us.

For those who have taken advantage of low interest rates and have netted a Vancouver home, congratulations!

Cod Filets

Hogue slaps us with the notion that affordability based on cheap rates is behind us. Noted, is that we got a few scales thrown at us as a warning in the early part of June when the 5 – 10 year rates increased.

Hogue’s fish filet tells us that “Further improvement depends on greater gains in family income.” Which he claims “SHOULD (emphasis mine), be supported by an improving economy in the second half of the year.”

Ok this is all good and hopeful – but here’s the jig.

Vinegar on your Fish and Chips

At the current G8 conference British prime minister Gordon Brown served up a well battered filet with dire warnings that as the title of the Globe and Mail article screams, a “Second wave of economic crisis coming.” Brown is not talking about fish and chips wrapped in news print.

Where are the Jobs

Quoting Brown, “I would say that in April we were having to deal with the problems that were caused by the failure of banks. Now we have to deal with the challenge of resuming growth in the world economy.” He adds that “we must do something to help the million[s of] unemployed across the world.”

Forgetful

What might that be? Brown’s solution – government regulation. It’s that stuff we had before that was designed to protect us from this mess and that conveniently everybody forgot about.

No Guarantees

If you’ve been around a while you know that everything governments do takes a long time – certainly longer than six months as hopeful Hogue suggests. Left we are, confused in finding balance with the idea that all is not as rosy as Hogue might have us believe. Concerned we are for Vancouver’s mountains and oceans those natural barriers that isolate us from the world, may not be as protective as hoped.

Faith

Look around. How many of your friends have lost their job? What are their prospects of replacing the former high pay scale career with another. On balance, if housing affordability as Hogue implies, is going to be a reflection of an improved economy, who are we to believe in light of Prime Minister Brown’s warning?

Out in the stormy cold Atlantic ocean, a Newfoundland cod fisherman worth his salt would tell you that – Yah gotta have faith!

http://www.yattermatters.com/real-estate/vancouvers-fish-story/

reviewed by Moishe Alexander, canadian funding corp CEO

“Given the grim shape that Canada’s real estate market was in this past winter, the turnaround we have witnessed in the second quarter is really quite remarkable.  We believe this improvement represents a sustainable change across the country. While seasonally weaker conditions are to be expected in the fall, the plucky Canadian real estate market is stabilizing and a healthy level of activity is forecast for the second half of 2009,” said Phil Soper, president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services.

During the second quarter, average house prices across most Canadian markets began to appreciate, recovering from the lows experienced during the winter months. Average national prices remain slightly behind those posted during the same period in 2008. Of the housing types surveyed, the price of detached bungalows declined to $327,964 (-3.5 per cent), two storey property prices decreased to $392,378 (-3.7 per cent), and standard condominiums price points fell slightly to $237,112 (-3.8 per cent), year-over-year.

Soper observed, “With our industry’s busiest quarter behind us, we feel comfortable revising our 2009 forecast to the positive. When the anticipated market decline struck last winter, it was with greater speed and intensity than predicted, but the strength of the rebound was equally surprising.  If general economic conditions continue to improve, as we expect they will, 2009 will be characterized as a period of moderate housing market correction after several years of above-average price growth.”

The 2009 national average house price is forecast to decline marginally by 2.0 percent, to $297,500 by end of year and unit sales are projected to fall slightly by 1.0 percent to 430,000.

“Improved affordability, driven by flat or lower home prices and inexpensive mortgage financing, has been the principle catalyst in this recovery.  Pent up demand is also a factor in the lift we see in the second quarter numbers.  For six months straddling the year’s beginning, buyers stayed away from the market in an understandable, emotional reaction to very unsettled global economic conditions.  Canadians appear to be stepping beyond these fears and are once again moving onto and up the home ownership ladder,” stated Soper.

In early 2009, the precipitous drop in unit sales remains the most dramatic indicator of the recession’s impact on Canada’s real estate market.  With spring, consumers appeared ready to believe the worst was behind them and returned to the market in force, driving increased activity across each housing type.  Couple this with historically low interest rates and leveling unemployment, Canada’s residential real estate market got back on track during the quarter.

Undergoing an inevitable cyclical correction, price adjustments can be seen with marked variances across Canada’s provinces.  As expected, British Columbia and Alberta posted the most significant price modifications, as home values in those markets retreated in the wake of several mid-decade years of unsustainable price inflation, and have now evolved to a more balanced state.   Prices appear to have stabilized and it is expected that these regions will continue to see improvements into 2010.  In particular, the impact of lower home prices has improved affordability to the point that people are buying homes again on the West Coast, where sales activity has increased substantially.

Alternatively in Atlantic Canada, homes continue to appreciate due to strong local economies, which have helped to shelter the region somewhat from the turbulence witnessed in other provinces. As well, the region’s generally moderate home prices have helped keep demand strong.   Newfoundland, in particular, stands out as a region that continues to see significant home price appreciation, as supply cannot keep up with the demand driven by vibrant and growing industries such as those in the province’s oil and gas sector.

Meanwhile, home prices in Toronto declined slightly in the second quarter, reflecting the national average trend.  In the early spring, it was first-time buyers who triggered the increased activity levels, now those looking to move up are also active in the market. Similar to the situation in other large cities in central Canada, the most desirable neighbourhoods experienced supply shortages, which put upward pressure on prices.

“Looking ahead to the second half of 2009, year-over-year price comparisons will likely appear increasingly more favourable. It is important to remember that the baseline for the latter half of 2008 was unusually low, particularly in the fourth quarter when the full impact of the global financial crisis was felt. Our expectation is that most Canadian regions will experience stable housing prices through into the spring of 2010,” concluded Soper.

REGIONAL MARKET SUMMARIES

Halifax
In Halifax, a stable economy has contributed to a healthy real estate market where average house prices increased modestly despite a slight dip in sales activity.   The market is beginning to pick up following a slow first quarter.  Pent up demand will see a return to a more active market in the last half of the 2009 with the anticipation of a slight boost in sales activity and average house prices growing at a leisurely pace.

Montreal
The housing market in Montreal experienced a solid second quarter, with average house prices for most property types expected to increase for the remainder of 2009.  Higher inventory levels resulted in balanced market conditions seeing the number of new listings equal to the number of sales.  Low interest and unemployment rates will help maintain the strength of the real estate market through to the end of the year.

Ottawa
Ottawa continues to remain a steady market for residential real estate, with sales activity in the second quarter coming out strong from a slow first quarter.  Ranked number two among Canada’s large cities for affordable real estate and coupled with low interest rates, all types of buyers were drawn to the market.  House prices are expected to remain stable throughout the remainder of year with numbers slightly higher than anticipated.

Toronto
In Toronto, the real estate market witnessed significant second quarter gains.  The return of consumer confidence and an upswing in spring market activity brought house prices and unit sales down as buyers emerged to take advantage of affordable properties and low lending rates.
As the market begins its transition from a buyer’s market to a balanced market, with indications of a seller’s market arising, it’s anticipated that the market will stabilize by the end of year.

Winnipeg
Winnipeg’s real estate market has remained relatively resilient in the second quarter with average house prices in key housing segments increasing from the first quarter of 2009.  Real estate in Winnipeg is modestly priced when compared to other cities in Canada, creating ideal conditions for buyers in the province.  Looking ahead, average house prices are anticipated to stabilize for the remainder of the year.

Regina
Regina’s real estate market started on the road to recovery in the second quarter of 2009 and is expected to further improve through the remainder of the year.  An increase in unit sales helped diminish the city’s high inventory levels as buyers are beginning to initiate deals.   Recovering manufacturing and resource sectors, new construction activity in Regina, and low interest rates have also helped to improve buyer confidence.

Calgary
With the economic downturn and the oil and gas industry struggling, the housing market in Calgary has been on the decline since 2008, after many years of price inflation at the beginning of the decade.  Quarter one of 2009 revealed some signs of price increases and stabilization in certain areas in Calgary, but the second quarter reveals fluctuations in the market. These price fluctuations are occurring across Calgary in all housing types with the market forecast predicting price reductions for the remainder of 2009.

Edmonton
Housing market conditions in Edmonton were characterized by lower inventory levels and moderate house price increases.  Buyer demand was strong during the second quarter as most buyers felt a sense of urgency to capitalize on the recent market conditions.  This has led to a slight tightening in Edmonton’s housing market with appreciation in average house prices expected for the last half of 2009.

Vancouver
Vancouver’s real estate market stabilized in the second quarter of 2009 following a price correction that started last fall moving towards a balance between supply and demand. Properties priced at, or below, market value are generating multiple offers from buyers. Average house prices throughout the last half of the year are expected to inch upwards, but increases will likely be in the low single digits.

Royal LePage’s quarterly House Price Survey shows the annual change of prices for key housing segments in select national markets. Click here to view the chart (.PDF).

The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most comprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of housing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast.  This release references an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities across the country.  A complete database of past and present surveys is available on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca.  Current figures will be updated following the complete tabulation of the data for the second quarter. A printable version of the second quarter 2009 survey will be available online on August 7, 2009.

Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of fair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts.  Historical data is available for some areas back to the early 1970s.

http://www.muchmormagazine.com/2009/07/canadian-housing-market-sees-bounce-back-from-awful-winter/

reviewed by Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO

The key difference between Canada and other markets is that in Canada
the cost of bad home loans have been socialized in advance. In Canada, we didn’t need to disguise our sub-prime excesses within dubious mortgage-backed securities. Why create an alphabet soup of bogus AAA paper when our government provides seemingly limitless quantities of underpriced mortgage insurance? As a formula for creating housing froth it has been virtually unbeatable. Housing markets may be cratering throughout the world, yet one observes a perverse new high in Canadian real estate prices in May of 2009.

The key to Canada’s bubbly housing success been the CMHC . The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation writes guarantees on most Canadian mortgages originated at greater than 80% Loan-to-Value. This agency has been on a massive expansion binge of late. In 2008, a year of synchronized global recession, the CMHC expanded its
mortgage insurance in force by a whopping 18%. CMHC now guarantees $407.7 Billion of high loan-to-value
mortgages and an additional $233.9 Billion of securitized
mortgages.

In all, the CMHC mortgage guarantees are equal to slightly more than half of Canada’s GDP. Against this total, CMHC has miniscule equity capital of $8.1 Billion. How is it that more than $630 Billion of dodgy
mortgages can be guaranteed by an entity posting just over 1% in equity? This is a question that curiously appears to have escaped the notice of Canada’s top notch financial regulators.

The role of
the Canadian banks has been to commit capital to CMHC-insured
mortgages as quickly as they receive applications. It is not mortgage lending in the traditional sense, more like underwriting government bonds and taking a 150 basis point spread as compensation. In this way, the Canadian real-estate bubble looks a lot like its American cousin. Home loans are being written for those who likely cannot pay by lenders who pass through the credit risk to a third party. However, in the case of Canada, the third party is our own government and not the Chinese or Saudis who snapped up American mortgage paper.

http://thecomingdepression.blogspot.com/2009/07/canadian-real-estate-and-banks-ready-to.html

bad news reviewed by Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO

We’ve seen several articles over the last week or so that point to positive developments in the Palm Springs area housing market. Here’s a summary of what we’re experiencing. We’ve also included a link (found on our Facebook business page, “Palm Springs California Real Estate: Love of the Desert”) to a Desert Sun article that was quite comprehensive and well done.

Median prices for single-family homes in California have risen for the third straight month, reaching $267,570, up 4 percent from April, according to a report from the California Association of REALTORS®. This despite median prices falling 30.4% (sales increased 35.2%) compared to the same time a year ago for California statewide.

Locally, although median price fell 46.1% ( sales rose by 38.2% from a year ago), the median price is up slightly for the month of May ‘09 over April ‘09, confirming the upward trend. The inventory declined from the prior month for the fourth straight, as year over year sales remain brisk. The inventory of homes continues to drop, falling to a 4.2-month supply in May, compared to 8.7 month supply in May 2008.

California’s real estate market always has been seen as a leading indicator for the rest of the country. What is happening in California bodes well for the rest of the nation, observers say.

We are beginning to see signs of a price stabilization and even a small upward tick as inventory continues to trend downward.

“With affordability for first-time home-buyers at a record high, sales of existing single-family homes continued to remain above the 500,000 level for the ninth consecutive month,” said James Liptak, president of the California Association of Realtors.

“Buyers are beginning to realize that the combination of favorable home prices, historically low mortgage rates and first-time home buyer credits may not align again for many years.”

Greg Berkemer, executive vice president of the California Desert Association of Realtors, said, “Certainly, the housing market is affected by what goes on in the economy,” he said. “But in the housing sector alone, the last three to four months have been encouraging: We’re starting to see some price stabilization.”

That is the result of four months of slightly declining inventory, historically low interest rates, tax credits and price points, Berkemer said.

Unsold inventory tracked by more than 90 local Realtor associations statewide also fell to 4.2 months in May, the report noted, compared with the 8.7 month it would have taken to deplete the supply of homes on the market in May 2008.

“Inventory levels are well below the long-run average of seven months, which may account for the increase in median price,” said Leslie Appleton-Young, the association’s chief economist.

Capitalizing on these encouraging developments, we are also seeing the return of the Canadians, who are snapping up property in the United States. The Canadian “Loonie” is at par with the U.S. dollar for the first time since 1976-an exchange rate that makes homes and condos in the U.S. look like a real deal.

Canadian investment in U.S. real estate more than doubled in one year, from 11 percent in 2007 to 23.5 percent in 2008, making Canada the largest foreign real estate investor in the U.S., according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

Mark Dziedzic, a former financial planner from Toronto, currently living in Arizona, says, “When the Loonie hit a $1.10, it created a real buzz for Canadians, not only those looking to buy second homes, but we’re also seeing them buying purely from an investment standpoint.”

Need More Incentive to Buy?

Use Tax Credit for Downpayment

As we discussed in our last post, the tax credit can be used as additional down payment Qualified, first-time home buyers using a Federal Housing Administration (FHA)-insured mortgage now can apply the $8,000 federal tax credit toward their down payments, the Dept. of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced today. Currently, borrowers applying for an FHA-insured mortgage are required to issue minimum down payments of 3.5 percent. Previously, FHA-approved lenders were not allowed to monetizethe tax credit as part of the 3.5 percent; however, under the new guidelines announced this afternoon, borrowers now can use the tax credit as additional down payment, or for other closing costs. For more information, please visit: www.hud.gov and www.car.org.

C.A.R. launches Mortgage Protection Program

To help provide first-time home buyers with peace of mind when purchasing a home, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®’ (C.A.R.) Housing Affordability Fund is offering a new mortgage protection program to first-time home buyers. Through the C.A.R. Housing Affordability Fund’s Mortgage Protection Program, first-time home buyers who lose their jobs due to layoffs may be eligible to receive up to $1,500 per month, for six months, to help make their mortgage payments. A qualified co-buyer also can participate in the program, and receive a monthly benefit of $750 per month for up to six months. Program benefits also include coverage for accidental disability and a $10,000 death benefit.

This program can provide an important safety net for first time buyers. But what about everyone else who fear sudden unemployment? Contact us to learn about other possibilities.

 Sources: Daily Real Estate News: The Wall Street Journal, and California Association of Real Estate and The Desert Sun

http://lovepalmspringshomes.com/?p=316

reviewed by Moishe Alexander

I’ve had the same rent-versus-own discussion with a close friend of mine for years. Every now and then she’ll see a new statistic from the Canadian Real Estate Association about where prices are headed and rethink the decision she made just months before.

My advice to her today is: it’s time to get off the fence. Although mortgage rates rose last week, money is still cheap right now. Given the slowdown in the housing market, which is also showing signs of picking up, there is a slim selection in housing stock and less time to make a decision and put an offer on a home – with intense competition. And it might get worse.

A combination of other factors means it is the perfect time for property virgins to make their move. The federal government’s 2009 operating budget has contributed two important ingredients to the mix: the option to withdraw as much as $25,000 from your RRSP (compared to $20,000 in 2008) and a First-Time Home Buyers’ Tax Credit that provides up to $750 in tax relief when buying a starter home.

If thinking about becoming a home owner for the first time makes you nauseous, don’t worry – that’s natural. Getting into the real estate market is a good idea, as long as you do your research, view it at a long-term investment and have the money to do so.

Let’s start with the most important element – getting the green stuff. The first step in the home-buying process is getting pre-approved by a mortgage broker.

Once you get the green light you may be compelled to open-house hop down the ritziest street in your hood. While test-driving your dreams is OK, touring too many homes beyond your budget is a waste of time. If you’re serious, search only in your approved price range and know that starting small and building equity will give you a chance to upgrade in the future.

If you’re trying to estimate how much you can reasonably afford, take this as a general rule: according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation your monthly housing costs – including mortgage principal and interest, taxes and heating expenses – shouldn’t be more than 32% of your gross household monthly income (for the math-weary: that’s your annual gross salary multiplied by 0.32 and divided by 12).

Equally – if not more – important is your credit score. Ranging from 300 to 900, it determines how much interest you’ll likely pay when you apply for a loan. The higher your score, the lower the risk creditors will consider you – and the less interest you’ll pay. A low interest rate could translate into thousands in savings over the life of a loan.

According to myfico.com, a score of 720 or higher is ideal. You can review your score – which is calculated by a credit bureau based on personal financial information – at www.transunion.ca or www.equifax.ca for about $20.

It’s possible to buy a home for as little as 5% down, but anything less than 35% means you’ll need to have your mortgage insured by a third party. Insurance costs can be paid in a lump sum at the time of purchase or worked into the principal balance.

CMHC is the main mortgage insurer in Canada. To see the full table of premiums, click here.

When you broach the subject of buying property with your broker or banker he or she will tell you what you can afford. Immediately aim to spend less. The last thing you need as a first-time buyer is to be house-poor. Remember, you’ll need money to pay closing fees (which can be 1.5% to 4% of a home’s value), as well as any unexpected costs that crop up (one leak in the roof could mean a flood of new expenses).

There is a great downloadable Excel spreadsheet that calculates your monthly expenses (including property taxes and condo fees), as well as tallies your land transfer tax. It even has different sections depending on whether or not you are self-employed or not. Download it here.

In terms of doing your research, don’t get wrapped up watching national housing averages or analyzing what the six o’clock news has to say about the market. The only market you should pick apart is the neighbourhood you want to move to. Using national stats to determine trends in your area is like comparing condos to townhouses. Real estate changes from district to district, sometimes from street to street.

A qualified realtor will help you with research and connect you to the right team (lawyer, inspector, mortgage broker). Always work with a realtor as a first-time buyer. There’s too much you don’t know to go it alone, plus you don’t pay commissions – the seller does.

Still hanging out on that fence? Click over to www.myhomeplanner.ca for a rent-versus-own calculator.

Emotion has no place in purchasing property, especially as a novice buyer. You’ll feel more confident in your decision if you simply stick to working the numbers, doing your research, gathering a good team.

Then you can do all the sitting around you want – as a home owner on your very own fence.

reviewed by Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO

http://www.jeffreyteam.com/blog/toronto-real-estate-market/get-off-the-home-owning-fence/

During these first days of summer, as economists are telling us that the worst of the recession may be over, Canadians are wondering how the values of their largest financial assets – their homes – are holding up.

Media reports of real estate statistics have left many Canadian homeowners rightfully confused. The problem is that these statistics are usually based on averages of city, provincial and national markets. Such averages are pretty much irrelevant to what’s really happening in specific neighbourhoods.

Our analysis suggests that Canadian homeowners should avoid relying on city, provincial or national averages to value their homes. Instead, sellers should monitor selling prices of similar homes in their own neighbourhoods. Buyers should monitor selling prices of typical homes in the neighbourhoods where they want to live.

A cautionary tale

A number of authoritative real estate organizations issue monthly home price surveys from which price averages are extracted and extensively reported in the media. Often these organizations caution that average prices do not reflect actual prices in neighbourhoods with specific geographies and housing types, but these cautions are largely overlooked.

Here are examples that illustrate some limitations of averages.

The Toronto Real Estate Board reports that the average home price in May 2009 was $395,609 for all transactions (single and detached homes, condo apartments and condo townhouses) in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). The GTA is the country’s most populous urban concentration bounded by Lake Ontario on the south, Lake Simcoe on the north, Burlington on the west, and Newcastle on the east.

This average price has little relevance to prices in the specific neighbourhoods and communities in the GTA, where prices for single detached homes ranged from $1.53 million in the Toronto neighbourhood between St. Clair Avenue and Bloor Street east of Bayview Avenue; to $709,000 in a rural neighbourhood east of Newmarket; to $255,000 in Oshawa.

Average home prices

Averages themselves are largely misleading.

Suppose that in Year 1 five homes sold for $200,000, $220,000, $260,000, $290,000 and $500,000 (average $294,000), but in Year 2 only the first four homes sold (average $242,000). Statistically, this would mean that the average price of homes sold in this neighbourhood in Year 2 fell by $52,000, or 18%, from Year 1, even though all houses that were actually sold fetched identical prices to the previous year. Homeowners in this neighbourhood who didn’t carefully analyze the data would think their home values had fallen dramatically over the year, when, in fact, values of typical homes in the neighbourhood were stable.

Getting an accurate value of your home

So, the question remains: How does a Canadian homeowner determine the value of his or her existing home? Or how does a buyer determine the value of a prospective purchase?

The fact is, the Canadian housing market is made up of thousands of local housing markets that are affected by national, regional and local issues.

Local issues are many and varied. Prices of homes vary with proximity to rapid transit, shopping, parks and schools. Mountain or lakeside vistas are preferred over powerline panoramas or flight paths. Prices of homes in neighbourhoods a stone’s throw apart will vary with age, size and type of home. Homes at the base of a hill are more affordable than view homes at the top.

The most relevant housing market is the one that is closest to where you live today or want to live tomorrow. Neighbourhood surveys are more useful than city surveys, city surveys better than provincial and so on.

Most relevant are surveys of recent selling prices of similar homes on the same street or in the same neighbourhoods.

That said, it is difficult for homeowners to do their own surveys because listing prices – not selling prices – are available to the general public on the local MLS. The best course is to ask a realtor of your choice to show you statistics of selling prices of homes similar to yours in your neighbourhood. You will incur no obligation and, depending on your evaluation of the statistics you are shown, you will have a head start on your search for a realtor should you decide to sell your home.

Summary

The objective of this White Paper is to help homeowners understand the relationship between widely-reported real estate statistics and the value of their homes. We recommend that homeowners carefully scrutinize home price surveys from a variety of real estate organizations and economists. We hope this White Paper helps homeowners extract information from those surveys that is most relevant to them.

http://www.jeffreyteam.com/blog/toronto-real-estate-market/real-estate-statistics-101/

reviewed by Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO

“Vacancy rates and rent levels in the seniors’ housing market reflect a different market makeup than the traditional rental market,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist for CMHC. “The demand for seniors’ housing is expected to increase as the baby boom generation ages. The anticipation of this eventual increase in demand, has spurred the construction of seniors’ units ahead of actual demand. This, in turn, has led to an average vacancy rate of 9.2 percent in seniors’ residences that tends to be higher than in the traditional rental market.”

The national vacancy rate applies to standard spaces, which are defined as:

* private units such as a bachelor, one-bedroom or two-bedroom apartment occupied by a single individual or a couple; one unit is considered as one standard space;
* semi-private units; one unit is considered as two standard spaces;
* ward units; one unit is considered as three standard spaces or more;

The vacancy rate is calculated for all standard spaces regardless of whether the occupant participates in a meal plan or requires medical services. The vacancy rate covers only spaces that accommodate residents who receive less than 1.5 hours of care per day.

Vacancy rates varied considerably across the country, from a low of 3.4 per cent in Saskatchewan to a high of 18.9 per cent in Newfoundland and Labrador. The vacancy rate in Ontario (13.3 per cent) was above the national figure, while the rates in British Columbia (7.5 per cent) and Quebec (7.9 per cent) were below average.

Average monthly rents in the seniors’ market are higher than traditional market rents, reflecting the additional services and amenities that residents of these structures receive. The average rent for bachelor/private units where meals are included was $1,774 per month. Average rents ranged from a high of $2,519 per month in Ontario to a low of $1,271 in Quebec. Differences in average rents reflect, in part, the varying prevalence of services and amenities in each province.

As Canada’s national housing agency, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) draws on more than 60 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable, and affordable homes — homes that will continue to create vibrant and healthy communities and cities across the country.

Information on this release:

Andrea Scott
CMHC
Media Relations
Tel.: 613-748-4075
ascott@cmhc-schl.gc.ca

Backgrounder

* CMHC conducted its first National Seniors’ Housing Survey in February and March 2009. Previously, CMHC had regional seniors’ reports in B.C., Ontario and Quebec, which were published annually.
* The new national survey was conducted in all 10 provinces and in all centres regardless of size, which had a residence meeting the eligibility criteria.
* The survey targeted private and non-profit residences where the majority of residents were 65 years of age or older and had access to additional services not offered in traditional rental structures. To be eligible for the survey, a residence must provide an on-site meal plan or on-site medical services. Virtually all residences surveyed provided an on-site meal plan. Other amenities and services that were popular in some of the residences included on-site medical services (57.8 per cent), transportation services (44.2 per cent) and 24 hour call-bell service (92.0 per cent). Note that the survey excluded nursing homes and long-term care facilities.
* Across Canada, some 43 per cent of standard spaces in the seniors’ housing market rented for less than $1,500 and 22.0 per cent of spaces rented for $2,500 or more per month.
* Some 176,845 seniors lived in the 2,464 residences surveyed, capturing 8.2 per cent of the Canadian population at, or above, the age of 75.

http://www.cmhc.ca/en/corp/nero/nere/2009/2009-06-22-0815.cfm

reviewed by Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO